Bitcoin is known as the very first decentralized digital currency, they’re basically coins that can send through the Internet. 2009 was the year where bitcoin was born. The creator’s name is unknown, however the alias Satoshi Nakamoto was given to this person. Bitcoin accounts cannot be frozen, prerequisites to open them don’t exist, same for limits on bitcoin exchange .
Advantages of Bitcoin
Bitcoin transactions are made directly from person to person trough the internet. There’s no need of a bank or clearinghouse to act as the middle man. Thanks to that, the transaction fees are way too much lower, they can be used in all the countries around the world. Every day more merchants are starting to accept them. You can buy anything you want with them. How Bitcoin works. You should explore bitcoin mining. It’s possible to exchange dollars, euros or other currencies to bitcoin. You can buy and sell as it were any other country currency. In order to keep your bitcoins, you have to store them in something called wallets. These wallet are located in your pc, mobile device or in third party websites. Sending bitcoins is very simple. It’s as simple as sending an email. Invest in bitcoin to get great returns.
You can purchase practically anything with bitcoins.Bitcoin Anonymity.When doing a bitcoin transaction, there’s no need to provide the real name of the person. Each one of the bitcoin transactions are recorded is what is known as a public log. This log contains only wallet IDs and not people’s names. so basically each transaction is private. People can buy and sell things without being tracked.
Bitcoin innovation. Bitcoin established a whole new way of innovation. The bitcoin software is all open source, this means anyone can review it. A nowadays fact is that bitcoin is transforming world’s finances similar to how web changed everything about publishing. The concept is brilliant. When everyone has access to the whole bitcoin global market, new ideas appear. Transaction fees reductions is a fact of bitcoin. Accepting bitcoins cost anything, also they’re very easy to setup. Charge backs don’t exist. The bitcoin community will generate additional businesses of all kinds.
What Makes bitcoin exchange So Interesting?
Markets NeededBitcoin broke the gold barrier. The last time it touched this "third rail" was a shocker. It dropped precipitously and it required over three years to claw its way back. So far, so good. Japan is in the news of late. It now accepts Bitcoin as a payment method. Retailers and tourism are poised to receive a boost. Optimist think that this development will serve to increase bitcoin valuations and push adoption, at least in Asia. So here we are again. But maybe not. The SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) in the United States has essentially rejected bitcoin as an investment option. Repeatedly. The long and the short of it is, it can't be regulated internationally. It's too free. Oh, and some bad players might rip you off. And the SEC can't spy on every business in China -- and elsewhere -- offering bitcoin. If the SEC can't spy on you -- just to keep you safe you understand -- then its a non-player. A non-starter. Will the U.S. Government ever allow a legalized Bitcoin? This latest review might be a downer. Be prepared with a little gold and silver...and a bit of Monero. But let us dig a little deeper. In the obvious 'mine.' Bitcoin is an international monetary unit. A type of functional money. A large portion of the mining and transactions are taking place in China. China is not a cooperative country. It is a highly centralized communist dictatorship. It is not a friend of the world. As such, the U.S. looks at a the global picture. What is the global picture? Just as stated. Enemies must be very careful. They must take care not to be undermined in any sphere. Militarily, financially, even business relationships, are all areas that could pose a threat. Bitcoin poses a threat. A financial threat. It's just another part of the global currency wars. And you think Uncle Same will turn a blind eye? Will bitcoin be able to hold against gold this time around? Will math beat out a monetary unit which his existed for thousands of years? Will codes conquer substance -- gold? It'll be an interesting next few months as both sides, the crypto-lovers and the SEC (and the IRS and Uncle Sammy) go at it. Now Japan sides with crypto. But they need all the help they can get. Come to think of it so do we -- the U.S. But whose carrying the big stick? Thus far the answer, at least on a temporary basis, seems to be the people carry the monetary 'bitcoin' stick. Until, that is, governments become involved. Then one needs to make a choice. Shall you stay with bitcoin if any government attempts to influence its code, for example.? Or should you diversify? Before we go there, recently one the the most important core developers has bought something to the attention of the world. It the fact, according to Greg Maxwell, they've now confirmed it. Suffice it to say that a type of flaw in the bitcoin code allows some miners to mine 20% faster (called the AsicBoost). It's a real cash cow and why, according to some, the big Chinese mining companies do not wish to fix the code. See more here. That recent bit of news has faded for now. Litecoin has been around for awhile. To us watchers, the newest prices of LTC brings back memories. Maybe they can climb above $30.00 each again -- and hold. But wait a minute, it did! If bitcoin continues to lose ground, it seems to be the logical next "trusted" choice. And it is well overdue for a spike -- a pump. You would need to do the homework on it again, however. To see if you think "scrpyt" coins are as tough as SHA-256. It is really interesting that Litecoin moved ahead with Segwit. This improvement would "fix" the problems bitcoin currently faces. According to Maxwell, bitcoin, especially the ones making the "killing" in China, could block any such Segwit improvements to bitcoin. The bulletin boards are chirping that bitcoin will eventually adopt Segwit. But how can this be verified? It can go either way. Monero (and Aeon or even Bytecoin) need something really special before they will be accepted and acceptable, by the masses. Like real estate needs location, location, location, a currency needs...markets, markets, markets. They don't have them, yet. Trust is being built, however. Time does this. DASH has a bit more exposure, more markets, so in a sense, it is easier to trade and use. But based upon observational experience, DASH looks to be madly pumping and dumping. A crash back to earth should be expected soon. No sooner than I typed these words a few hours ago, DASH sunk over 90 million dollars...then 100 million... In the weeks that followed, DASH is surprising even me. Soaring to new heights and then crashing back. Is it only a "people pile?" Add to this, Craig Wright's recent mad filing of patents related to Bitcoin and it makes you go, "Hrumph!" Clearly, one blockchain isn't going to get it. We need security, not monolithic cryptography. The more the merrier. But blockchains, without flaws. Not possible really. There are always coding issues. Suffice it to say that psychologically, many will be looking for a cool million dollars on these recent run ups in value of many coins. Beware of trade volumes, however. Exchanges like Poloniex, for example, may only make it possible to sell $50,000 to $100,000 at any given moment. Which isn't bad, if their service does not go down. It's always safer to work on several exchanges and even use the decentralized ones, if you dare. And as for DASH. When will all the voluntary DASH nodes get cold feet? If you run a master node and have set aside 1000 DASH and that DASH soars in value; and you start seeing gold coins and big houses, swimming pools and nice cars, are you really going to keep your DASH? Do you think Duf-boy is not cashing in? How about after recent attack they suffered? You know they are thinking hard on it now. After reaching over a $200 a coin, you know they are wondering. PoloniexMost of Monero's and DASH's business is generated -- from what is visible -- on just one exchange: Poloniex. Many cryptocurrency aficionados often refer to some coins as being "owned" by Poloniex. In other words, that Poloniex is the "pump." That they can rig the game. At least push it along. Kraken finally added Monero. HitBTC and LiveCoin can also serve to stabilize trading. At present HitBTC is pulling some serious weight and could unseat Poloniex in the XMR realm. It's a wait and see thing. Thus far, neither Monero, DASH, Aeon or any other related "private" cryptocurrency, has the market pull of Bitcoin or even the taxed "Zcash." I call Zcash a post-mine. You mine some Zcash and they take their cut up front. And if you're asking about "Zcoin" then ask yourself how many developers are backing it, before you go that route. Add to all of this, the fact that Bitcoin may morph into a more private-centric coin in the near future. And just maybe the "devs" will try to level the playing field. If you trust them. Is this a good idea? I mean if you make better ASIC's to mine BTC faster, then what's the issue? Technology wins. However, if you are exploiting a backdoor of sorts, that's another thing entirely. It's not about being unfair, it's about a broken cryptocurrency. Maybe the "devs" have finally screwed up bitcoin to the "point of no return." Ease of UseMonero (and AEON) might unseat Bitcoin and Ethereum in the near future. DASH is certainly a contender. Bytecoin, a dark horse with alleged "scammy" beginnings. In all probability, Monero is best positioned to accomplish this, but there are stumbling blocks. The fact that Monero appears to be focused upon privacy, but the user does have the option to publicize transactions to a point, for taxes and other purposes. But we don't really know who the developers of these coins are. Doesn't that bother you? Aeon intends to do things a bit differently and this fact could usher in a entirely new method of monetary transactions. It's privacy with a choice to go public as well. Still, does it matter how good something is, if we do not have the name of the primary creator(s) of the "thing?" DASH is up front about its development, but is that a strength? Many cite DASH's "instamine" as a reason to steer clear, but look at the GUI -- the easy to use software. Test it. Then test Bitcoin or Monero GUI's. Who is the true underdog here? Or the best salesman -- as in "used car salesman"? "...separating the wheat from the chaff..." Remember the LaymanThe trouble one always finds in the cryptocurrency world is separating the wheat from the chaff. Scam-coins abound and even legitimate attempts to create a currency and/or monetary unit in this new "cyber-money-space" are often met with disdain, if not outright ridicule. There is much to read and understand, but with a modicum of foresight, one can judge a cryptocurrency by its cover and a bit of the innards, when they are visible. In short, the layman is often left confused and bored. Protection?Since currency and money are very sensitive subjects, the fact that cryptocurrency creators maintain anonymity, may be their only protection. I'm not spouting conspiracy theories, but judge for yourself, the number of developers of these technologies, who have been investigated, ridiculed, ostracized, fined, jailed and finally, imprisoned. SecrecyMathematical geniuses are taking on monetary totalitarianism and they are being picked off, like pigeons at the Vatican. No wonder Monero and Aeon developers remain private. They know the score. Using cyberspace to live free and a digital underground railroad -- to get the code out. DASH is taking a different road. It's letting the software do the work of anonymity. Some call this the high road. Others call this foolhardy. Evan Duffield, social engineer? And another thing, why would the creator of DASH admit on video (see time frame 36:15 in the above video) that he was once a "black hat hacker?" Once dabbled in a bit of crime? Isn't that a foolish statement to make while being interviewed by your employee...Amanda B. Johnson. The same Johnson who once referred to gold as a rock. A relic from a past age? Maybe she is right, but... Clearly these noobs need a PR person, but maybe it's too late now. And maybe it's all planned by Mr. Past Black Hat himself, Evan Duffield, in an effort to jettison DASH before the crypto-sphere collapses. Take his money and run. I mean really, do you think people are foolish enough to pour money into an "iffy" project, long term? Does not leadership or the lack of it, count? But let us not be obtuse. These new Fintech geniuses are attempting to rewrite monetary history and this fact is not going unnoticed. So it becomes a two edged sword? A scam that will result in many prosecutions or a success that will lead to mass adoption by governments and the elimination of private cryptocurrencies altogether. We may be investing in a scam or the next great cryptocurrency. Again, how do you feel about a semi-professionally run organization, like "gray hat" DASH, versus a secretly run Monero? Get that raw feeling in your gut? Bitcoin EraFrom the beginning, which we might label as the Bitcoin Era, the landscape of money itself was altered. Not only are the finance houses from the old empires attempting to catch up, but we the people are left with a choice. Do we allow ourselves to be governed by the chains attached to our wallets or do we evolve? Recently, Sweden rejected a state run cryptocurrency. Few even know about bitcoin. China is preparing to go full steam ahead with a state controlled "Communist Crypto." Any takers? But bitcoin, as I have asserted repeatedly, is a bridge to a better currency. A way to move from a valueless currency (fiat systems) to a valuable one. Maybe. In the meantime, we the people of earth, not nations, are at a fiscal crossroads. We are able, at this moment in history, to remove a thorn from our collective wallets. The thorn of control. That monetary mafia. Can you guess what I am on about? Bitcoin was the first lesson. Things like Monero, Aeon and DASH take the next logical step: privacy. Or partial privacy. But, Aeon, like Monero are the dark-horses. DASH, not so much. Maybe a gray colt, as yet UN-castrated. Meaning what would happen if the DASH team was pulled aside by the U.S. Justice Department? What is to stop the IRS from requesting the Book of DASH from Mr. DASH himself? Nothing. Always, there must be "updates," however. And the lords of control (the developers) will eventually and irrevocably, be remade. That's why things beyond the reach of our minders (our Deep States) must -- should be built. Because such constructs solve two problems: abuse by criminals and abuse of power, by our minders. But why does privacy matter? This video tells us why privacy remains important in the digital age. Final WordsAccording to Cryptocoinsnews, in a article titled "Coinbase CEO Armstrong: Ethereum Scaling Better Than Bitcoin," dated September 21, 2016, Coinbase (a Cryptocurrency Exchange) got an earful from Reddit users about Monero. If Coinbase or other such exchanges list Monero, this could certainly boost usage. However, if one considers the privacy of Monero, such integration could prove problematic for any Cryptocurrency Exchange. Bitcoin is public and the developers are known. Same for Ethereum. But Monero is private and only one spokesman has come forward publicly. Riccardo Spagni. But Spagni does not control Monero. Given the laws and rules surrounding the transmission of money, especially within the United States, one wonders how Monero could ever hope to comply, unless it allows (enforces) the option to "publicize" transactions. Unless Monero can trace Monero -- completely. And that would defeat its purpose, violate one's rights to keep his/her financial details private and, presumably, kill the coin. Now, there are ways to provide law enforcement with the ability to track your Monero transactions, but you must volunteer that information. With Bitcoin, it's far easier to investigate your every dealing, purchase, or savings amount, since all transactions and account balances are public by default. Then the question arises, would you ever volunteer to anyone, never mind your local intrusive government, how and where you store your cash? But the fact that Monero leaves that option up to the person, up to the user, takes the onus off of them. Does DASH have these same problems? Do former "black hats" lie? PredictionI'm not an Edgar Cayce type, but I just consulted my tea leaves. They say that Monero will soon be absorbing DASH's thunder. (Hasn't happened though. Bad publicity?) Bitcoin will begin a slow tumble, south of gold value; and some new form of cryptocurrency, easy to use, not energy hogging, private and secure, backed by "something other than air," will gobble them all. (No such luck on this prediction either. Bitcoin continues to defy even me. And Iota just seems to sit.) In the meantime, a certain U.S. based Cryptocurrency Exchange, with its recent approval to sell and trade new crpyto-coins from the SEC, will open it's more of its books to Uncle Sammy -- behind closed doors. (Actually, the aforementioned exchange is still fighting this loosing battle.) So what is going on? Really? First the SEC refuses bitcoin ETF's in the U.S., then they happily allow more crypto to be sold by a virtually unregulated "exchange" company. Do you smell something? In a year of two, after this, the audits will begin. That's is after the NSA and other more secret agencies, have ferreted about the crypto records room and played out all possible terrorist connections, foreign agent problems and similar. If us noob citizens are lucky, the good guys (the U.S. Government) won't eat its own. After all, the IRS wouldn't just take our money without first determining that tax evasion actually occurred right? Think again. Think hard. Do you really think that the "public" companies in America, the ones that sell cryptocurrencies, have not opened every private electronic vault to Uncle Sam? Yeah, I wish I had more Monero about now, but I am too concerned about the IRS and its gang of goons, who will pick me over like some nice road pizza. I use to like Coinbase, but since they are taking it up the you-know-what, I'd prefer not be present for the fun and frolic ahead. And one last bit of info. After they take down fluffypony, there will only be one standing: Aeon. Keep an eye on the Dude. Check that, keep an eye on the grandpa: Bytecoin. Disclaimer for the Lawsuit HappyOh, so that lawyers won't salivate, please note that the above Hub (you can call it a blog if you like) is in no way any kind of advice to buy, sell, mine or read about cryptocurrencies. In fact, everyone on earth should henceforth, stop thinking, buy government bonds or move to the paradise of Venezuela...if you think that private blockchains are not the future or at least a path on the way to better Fintech.
Bitcoin in Singapore
#News 12 September 2017: The Smart Token Exchange pre-sale is live. They plan to aggregate exchanges’ liquidity reducing liquidity cost (also known as slippage) to traders. The key is fast API execution, in which they are world-class with their KeyCaptcha business. This project is under the radar but will gain traction. I have invested in the STEX Pre-Sale. (The terms are much better than in the ICO that will follow.)
#News 10 September 2017: I just published Are you in the Bitcoin 1% ?
#News 9 September 2017: PreSearch is a decentralized Google. This will happen. ICO is live.
#News 26 August 2017: This essay is top of the Google Search for crypos. Please clap for this essay if you are passionate about crypto. I tweet about crypto trading: BambouClub .
#News 26 August 2017: I keep a crypto trading diary that I regularly update with trading recommendations.
The Ten Rules
15 September 2017: Performance of my Portfolio:
Since Entry June 2014: Portfolio is x12.4, i.e. has increased 1,140%. My average Bitcoin buy price (June 2014 to December 2015) was $540. Bitcoin (at its current $3,709) is x6.86, increase of 586%.
Year to Date (YTD) 2017: My portfolio is x5.8, i.e. has increased 480%. Global Cryptomarket is x6.89, increase of 589%. (From $17.7 billion to $122 billion.) The main successes in my portfolio have been $BTC, $ETH, $EOS (ICO), $XTZ (Tezos ICO), $ZRX (0X ICO), $NEO and $BNB (Binance Coin). These calculations apply to my trading portfolio, and exclude my pension which has been fully invested in a Bitcoin fund since June 2017.
These notes are mainly for my own benefit so I can refer back to them and improve them. I will update it from time to time.
- Build the Portfolio on Bitcoin
- ‘When you See it, Bet Big.’ George Soros
- Index Track the Top 10 Cryptoassets
- Scale Out (Take some Profits)
- The Honeybadger Trade: Buy the Dip
- Do not Over-Trade. Lock up Coins
- Let Profits Run. Cut Losses. Watch 7d Price Change not 24h or 1h
- ICOs are a Great Opportunity. Do Your Own Research.
- Research Micro-Caps that might rise by Orders of Magnitude. (I like EquiTrader $EQT, only available at CoinExchange.)
- Leveraging has a Role. Buy (and Sell) Bitcoin Futures at Bitmex Exchange. Use Futures if you want greater, faster returns (at a higher risk).
Rule 1: Build the Portfolio on Bitcoin
Bitcoin is the mother lode. It has been good to me and will always form the main part of my crypto portfolio.
Those (mainly low-income copy & paste journalists) claiming Bitcoin is in a bubble are too lazy and/or stupid to become informed. There is no Bitcoin bubble for these reasons.
Bitcoin has had phenomenal growth in its price and MCap since inception. If we exclude other cryptoassets, Bitcoin has been the best performing asset in the world every year since 2009 through to June 2017 with the exception of 2014. It has beaten all global currencies, equities, commodities, bonds, ETFs, real estate throughout that period. Bubbles are by definition short-lived, they do not keep bubbling for eight years.
As a result it has achieved a MCap of $56 billion and this place in a global table of iconic assets.
Volumes indicate the liquidity of an asset. The greater the liquidity the easier it is to buy and sell, even when there is turmoil, and the lower the Bid-Offer spread and therefore the cost of trading. You want to avoid assets with tiny liquidity as when the shit hits the fan it will be costly to exit. Bitcoin has world-class liquidity. I run a crypoasset analysis site named Blocklink.info. Here is a screen-grab of the most liquid assets in the world.
Source: Blocklink.info. Volumes for cryptoassets are fetched from the Coinmarketcap API using the CRYPTOFINANCE Google Sheets Add-On. Volumes for stocks come from Google Finance. You can check the US stocks volume at the NASDAQ site.
Bitcoin’s trading volume is up there with the great iconic American stocks.
Bitcoin’s price will continue to be volatile, but Bitcoin is travelling along a secular bull trend road, and that spectacular volume is not going to evaporate overnight.
Every month fees are ever higher which is watertight evidence of ever greater demand to use Bitcoin. That is, people want to send transactions across the blockchain, not just trade on the exchanges.
Tx fees time-series data is maintained at Blockchair.com
Bitcoin and My Portfolio
Bitcoin holds a dominant place in my cryptoasset portfolio. As a result of recent changes in UK regulations I have allocated my entire personal pension (like a US 401k or retirement account) into Bitcoin via the XBTProvider ETN.
Be more cautious about investing your 401k into Barry Silbert’s Bitcoin Investment Trust $GBTC. The (European) XBT Provider ETN is an open-ended fund which means it maintains a premium to the NAV close to 0% at all times. The Bitcoin Investment Trust is an inferior investment vehicle because it is a closed-end fund (it does not increase its holdings of the underlying asset when demand for the product increases) which means it is subject to wild swings in its premium, which has been as high as 150%. So you could make the mistake of buying when the premium is high and suffer swingeing losses even when the Bitcoin price is stable.
Rule 2: “When you See it, Bet Big.” George Soros.
Something extraordinary is happening. The cypto space in June 2017 is like the Internet space in 1995. It is a great opportunity.
Stanley Druckenmiller has written about his dealings with George Soros whom he quotes as saying ‘When you see it, bet big’. The funny thing is, I was mocked by a Hedge Funder on Twitter named Sarah Cone (@impcapital ) when I revealed that I had seen it and I had bet big. I bet big with my entire fucking pension.
George Soros: When you see it, bet big.
Here is Charlie Munger expressing a similar though:
Rule 3: Index Track the Top 10 Cryptoassets
Until 18 May 2017 I held very little Ethereum and zero Ripple in my portfolio.
I made a great mistake in not buying Ethereum and Ripple in 2017 until 18 May. My mistake was Bitcoin Maximilism. I refused to have anything to do with Ethereum and Ripple because I didn’t like them. As a result I missed these returns.
I came to my senses on 18 May, 2017 when I underwent an epiphany. I then made a new (self-imposed) rule : broadly track the Top 10 cryptoassets in my portfolio, regardless of my opinion about their individual merits.
I have applied a flexible, discretionary form of index-tracking since then.
I execute index-tracking manually off this Google Sheet:
At the time of writing, 20 June 2017, the results of index-tracking have been pleasing.
YTD 2017 returns for Cryptocurrencies, 18 May 2017:
My portfolio was up 106% YTD.
YTD 2017 returns for Cryptocurrencies, 20 June 2017:
My portfolio was up 281%. So in one month (18 May to 20 June) it has raced past Bitcoin, $GBTC, and Monero, and has made good ground in catching up with Global Cryptocurrencies.
I ruled myself free to apply discretion in my index-tracking. It was very clear early on that Ripple was in a secular bear market against Bitcoin from 18 May and I quickly became and stayed underweight in Ripple.
I also went underweight in Ethereum in mid-June at $350 — $360.
Is Ethereum in a bubble?
I don’t know. Applying the same metrics used above to $ETH it does pretty well, but not as well as Bitcoin. But there are clear risks and as a result I am underweight in Ethereum compared to its share of the global Cryptoasset Market Cap.
Growth (Price & MCap): Ethereum has outstanding growth in its short life, but it was only created in August 2015 so it lacks the 8-year track record of Bitcoin. This is significant. Ethereum’s explosive performance in 2017 could indeed fit into the time-frame of a bubble.
Trading Volumes & Volume/MCap Ratio: Great. Similar to Bitcoin.
Transaction Fees: All good. They are rising quickly indicating true demand for this cryptoasset.
Metrics aside, Spencer Bogart makes great sense in this thread where he describes the regulatory risk and other risks that might bring the Ethereum house of cards down. It is possible that the SEC will rule that the ICOs are illegal sale of securities. People might go to prison. It is for these reasons that I am under-allocated.
Note: If Governments decide to put a stop to the cryptoasset economy, there is a crucial distinction between Bitcoin and Ethereum. Bitcoin is truly decentralised. It has honeybadger, even cockroach qualities and is resistant to such measures. Ethereum is a registered commercial legal entity in Switzerland and can be shut down overnight.
Rule 4: Scale Out (Take Some Profits)
Anyone who has lived through a bubble knows the value of this.
I have experienced several bubbles, namely London housing 1984–1988, DotCom in 1998–2000, London housing again 2002–2008, the Bulgarian property market (seaside apartments and ski apartments) 2004–2008.
It’s human nature to be cautious at first and then progressively relaxed, even reckless. My observations suggest that it is best to behave in the opposite, counter-intuitive way: commit yourself to the market with reckless abandon in the early days, and then start the scaling out process, applying the brakes and get the hell out when it appears to be the later stages.
In all those bubbles I made great paper profits that disappeared in a matter of months. The paper profits were more than 2 million Euros in the Bulgarian property market. In none of them did I take profit off the table in the run-up. Christ did I regret that. I am taking profit off the table in the cryptoasset market.
Finally, at the end, you must scale out completely. Jesse Livermore’s advice for a bull market:
It is not my opinion that we are near the last eighth:
Rule 5: The Honeybadger Trade: Buy the Dip.
Lots of influential actors — Governments, banks, regulators — fear Bitcoin and try to kill it on a regular basis. Bitcoin takes massive hit after massive hit, but it has always rode the punches and bounced back. Experienced traders have noted this and the advice is to buy the dip. This is the Honeybadger Trade.
I like the idea of BTFD, as I truly believe in Bitcoin. BTFD! people on Twitter yell. But it has puzzled me for a while.
There is a solution. Buy on margin at the dips. The beauty of this is that you do not need to add funds to your account, you merely avail yourself of the leverage already available. Use Bitmex Exchange.
I permit myself to use margin in the specific case of BTFD.
You need to get the timing of BTFD right. Beetcoin on Twitter provided this great analysis (thread) demonstrating that you should stay out for the first 48 hours of a dip and then BTFD.
Do NOT Sell the Dip
You need to be clear, is this a dip or is it a secular bear market? I BTFDd relentlessly in the DOTCOM unravelling in 2000 and lost every penny in the end.
If it is an established, secular bear market then face the music and STFD.
Rule 6: Don’t Overtrade. Lock up Coins
I over-trade stupidly at at tiny whims when I am bored or drunk. A solution I have found is to lock coins away out of reach.
One way is to keep Bitcoins and others in your hardware wallet. I use Trezor. It can store Bitcoin, Ethereum (+ all ERC-20 tokens), Ethereum Classic, ZCash, Litecoin, and Dash.
Another way is to lock them into terms deposits at Cryptopia (applies only to Dotcoin). This gives you the added benefit of earning interest on coins at interest rates that just do not exist outside crypto (about 18% p.a.).
Rule 7: Let Profits Run. Cut Losses.
This guy turned $10,000 into $6 million by letting his profits run during the Ethereum run-up in the first half of 2017.
Run profits Cut Losses is hard to do exactly. In my P&L Sheet I focus on the 7d (Price Change over 7 days) to decide whether to re-allocate my portfolio according to this rule. I largely ignore 1 h and even 24 h .
Rule 8. Treat ICOs and other Examples of Herd Mentality with Care
In general you are better off holding Ethereum than going through the mad, greedy, FOMO process of buying ICOs.
But ICOs or coins newly released on the exchanges can be great investments. Beetcoin played the IOTA new release on Bitfinex like a master. He turned 10 Bitcoin into more than 200 Bitcoin. He bought the $IOT Over the Counter (OTC) some time before Bitfinex listed it. He was ahead of the herd.
Rule 9 Do Your Own Research. Examine Micro-Caps.
I respect this strategy.
I bought Elastic $XEL at the obscure Heat exchange. It was rather difficult discovering how to buy it because I was in this case ahead of the herd where the path was not well defined. In the end I bought it at a high price (average 31,367 Satoshis, should have got them at 25,000 Sats) as I got scammed over at Heat by a predator (Arsonic @Ars0nic on Twitter) playing the order book. We’ll see how that plays out. I think the excessive price I paid will not matter too much.
Rule 10 Be Careful as Hell with Leveraging
Obviously leveraging can work, as with the guy referenced above who has made $6 million relentless buy Ethereum on leverage since December 2016.
I take out the rare leveraged position at Bitmex Exchange.
It can also go horribly wrong when margin calls occur across the mass market.
That said, those who lost everything were not the brightest traders. They could have avoided that by using judiciously set Stop-Limit orders, rather than plain Stop orders.
So that is the Ten Rules.
I keep a crypto trading diary that I regularly update with trading recommendations.
If you liked this please click on the Green Heart and follow me on Twitter: @ BambouClub